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So, Why Are We Still Afraid?

Now that we are several months into this COVID-19 pandemic we have a lot more data. Initially there was a lot of concern about the unknown, but now we have the data. If the American health care system is good at anything, it is stats and numbers for disease rates. We are really good at tracking disease. Not so good at eradicating, preventing, mitigating or curing it, but quite good at tracking it. Even with possible manipulation of the data, the trends can be seen.

In Yakima county where I live, we have been number one county on the West coast for the number of cases per capita throughout May and June. It is a very agrarian county, with a high percentage of essential workers outside of government jobs. So, we have enough numbers to ask the question, “So, Why Are We Still Afraid?”

Let’s take a look at the numbers:

Table 1. COVID-19 Data, Yakima County, Washington state, updated July 12, 2020.

Age Range Case Count Percentage of
Total Cases
Deceased Percentage of
Total Deaths
0-19 1,059 12% 0 0%
20-29 1,901 22% 1 0.6%
30-39 1,599 19% 4 2.3%
40-49 1,355 16% 7 4.1%
50-59 1,211 14% 13 7.6%
60-69 706 8% 25 14.6%
70-79 380 4% 46 26.9%
80+ 367 4% 75 43.9%
TOTAL 8,578 100% 171 100%

In looking over the numbers in Table 1 you can see that there are a lot of cases among the younger aged people who have undergone testing. Up through the 50-59 age group there are over 1,000 people in each age group. So, there are enough cases to see some patterns here. In the 60+ age categories, only single-digit percentages (8, 4 and 4 percent of the total cases) are from the 60-69, 70-79 and 80+ categories, respectively. So, the majority of the cases (83%) in our county are actually people under the age of 60.

Moving over to the “Deceased” column, you can see that up through the 40-49 group there are only single digit deaths in Yakima county. Only 12 deaths for people up to the age of 49. In fact, if you add up the oldest two categories, this is about 71% of all of the deaths in the county. And the categories for ages 60+ account for a full 85% of all deaths. 85%! Fifteen percent of the confirmed cases account for 85% of the deaths. Let that sink in for a minute. These are the statistics from my local county where I live. I suspect this trend holds true across the country, as this article by Avik Roy of FREOPP indicates. Data from the CDC for the whole country shows the same age-death trend. So, why are we still afraid?

What is the risk of dying of COVID-19 if you are over the age of 60 versus under the age of 60? A simple 2X2 contingency table calculation will give us this answer quickly.

Here is the contingency table:

Table 2. 2X2 Contingency Table for < 60 versus ≥ 60.

Group Alive Dead Total
< 60 years of age 7,100 25 7,125
≥ 60 years of age 1,307 146 1,453
Total 8,407 171 8,578

We already knew that older people are more susceptible to COVID. This simple comparison gives a relative risk ratio of 28.7-fold higher risk of dying from COVID-19 if you are over the age of 60 versus younger than 60. Almost 30 times the risk! And if you are young, why are you still afraid?

And if you make the contrast even more stark, compare less than 50 years of age with greater than 70 years of age. I’ll spare you the details. It works out to an 80-fold higher risk of dying from/with COVID-19 if you are over the age of 70 versus if you are less than 50 years of age. 80-fold! So, why are we still afraid?

There is another line in the county’s health data that speaks volumes:

“Deceased with underlying conditions: 169 / 171”

So, if you are healthy, your risk of dying of COVID-19 is essentially zero. Zero. So, why are we still afraid?

So far, about 121,000 people have died of COVID-19 in the USA. While this number appears large, when compared to the numbers of people who die of other causes, this number is not large at all. There are about 2.8 million deaths in the USA from all causes per year. So, while 121,000 people have died of COVID-19 this year, more than 10 times as many people, about 1.3 million, have died of something else.

From data from the CDC, we can find that about 650,000 people die of heart disease each year, and another 600,000 from cancer. 121,000 die of Alzheimer’s Disease and another 84,000 from diabetes. Medical errors themselves contribute around 250,000 deaths each year, a cause of death not captured on death certificates. These are the causes of death that actually kill most people. I don’t want to minimize the impact of COVID-19 deaths, but I do want us to have a perspective that takes away the fear.

Regardless of the reasons for all of this pandemic mess, you do not need to be afraid. Do not give in to the media’s fear tactics. You cannot control your age, but your health is totally in your control. Totally. You may not achieve perfect wellness, but you can get to a place where you can function remarkably well at any age. You can enhance your immunity to withstand COVID-19 and many other infectious diseases. I have written before on how to bolster your immune system with vitamin C, Silver Biotics, vitamin D3 / K2, selenium, alpha lipoic acid, and iodine. You can find all of this in detail on Hallelujah Diet’s COVID-19 Immune Support Resources page.

High blood pressure, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, obesity, kidney disease, immunodeficiency diseases are underlying diseases of concern. These are all diet and lifestyle related chronic diseases. They can’t be eliminated overnight, but 30 days of strong application of the Hallelujah Diet will put you in a much better place as far as your health is concerned.

This pandemic is an opportunity for you to take back your health. If you are vulnerable, there are things you can do to improve your health right now. So, get going, kick the fear aside, and get back to the health you were created to have.

Comments

  1. Sandra July 22, 2020

    Great post! This is seeing the fear of Covid from another perspective. Have no fear. Just take the appropriate steps to create a healthier lifestyle.

  2. Connie July 22, 2020

    Thank you for this article. I agree that we do not need to live in fear. We can live a healthy lifestyle (including a healthy diet, supplements, exercise, etc) to support our bodies to function as they were designed. I appreciate the information Hallelujah Diet has provided to support natural health.

    • Melody Hord July 22, 2020

      I have relatives in Florida. I am very concerned for their health.

  3. Crystal July 22, 2020

    I Live in kittitas county so we are rising in numbers and fear but i thank you for being a voice of calm and reason. I have been using my hallelujah diet supplements and much prayer

  4. CAROLYN B CALHOUN July 22, 2020

    Very good and timely information. Really..have no fear…God has it in control..We are in the palm of His hand..Just use the wisdom we have been given to fight this disease.

  5. Patricia Magyar July 22, 2020

    Well written- The answer to illness/prevention has been and will always be a strong immune system. No fear here!
    2 Tim 1:7 For God has not given us a spirit of fear, but of power and of love and of a sound mind.

  6. Thank you for helping to calm the fear that has came with Covid-19.

  7. Annette Whitworth July 23, 2020

    This was a great blog. Im very concern about the people that have the Covid-19 and they family members. We have to keep standing on God`s promises, I`m remind of the scripture ….“So do not fear, for I am with you; do not be dismayed, for I am your God. I will strengthen you and help you; I will uphold you with my righteous right hand.” ~ Isaiah 41:10. Stay alert and keep focus on the lord, he is with us!

  8. Martha Wong July 23, 2020

    I just passed my 80th birthday, and I am not living in fear; however, I am taking wise precautions (mask-wearing in public, etc.). My immune system is strong, thanks to following the HD and the Lord’s grace.

    Request: I like to copy these Health Tips/Health News to share with others. Recently, however, the top & bottom margins on each page have been reduced, requiring me to hand-copy the “missing” sentences that do not appear on the next page. Could the IT person please make this correction/adjustment to your valuable material? I understand that you want to condense the copy as much as possible, but good info is missing when I copy these pages for others who need this health information. Thanks for your consideration of this request. God bless you for these wonderful, educational blogs!

    • Melody Hord July 24, 2020

      Hi Martha, You are an inspiration! I work at HD and will send your request to the IT person.

  9. Julie L. July 23, 2020

    Amen and amen!!!

  10. Charlotte July 28, 2020

    I do appreciate the information, however if you add up the numbers in Table 1 the totals are not accurate for the columns for Deceased and Percentage of total deaths. I suspect that the number of deaths and percentage of total deaths for the 80+ category have been entered incorrectly. Can you check this out and give the correct numbers?
    Thank you.

    • Melody Hord July 29, 2020

      Hi Charlotte! It appears to me, as well, that the numbers did get entered incorrectly as columns are not adding up right. I forwarded the discrepancies to Michael Donaldson, the author. Thanks so much for pointing this out.

      I keep up with statistics through John Hopkins. HERE is that link:
      I also keep up with Florida and North Carolina through their dashboards.
      John Hopkins shows as of today, there have been 149,375 deaths in the US. We have never seen so many hospitals overflow. Medical personnel from other states are helping in hard hit states. According to CBS News, refrigerated morgues are being called in to Arizona and Texas as hospitals cannot hold but so many dead people.
      Just because I feel healthy and watch my diet, I am broken for the people who are suffering greatly from COVID-19. Makes me cry. And I AM concerned of what is to come. This pandemic is NOT about me and me alone. I could never think, well, I am healthy and take supplements, so I don’t have to worry about anyone else. My heart bleeds for the more vulnerable population that are doing the best they can. I am empathizing for medical personnel!

      I totally agree that NOW is the time to get healthy! If someone is a smoker and tried to quit a 100 times, isn’t it worth it to try it again! It is the perfect time to rethink the diet. I am getting more serious about my exercise regimen! What we put in the body and how we treat it greatly impacts our health and its ability to fight for us.

    • Melody Hord July 30, 2020

      Looks like Table 1 graph has been corrected. Thanks!

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